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US-China policy under Donald Trump is heading for ‘unpredictable drift’: expert

Beijing is said to face complex double-edged calculus amid contrasting approaches of American president and Washington establishment

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Chinese President Xi Jinping (left) and US President Donald Trump attend a welcome ceremony for the American leader held at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on May 14. Photo: AP

Cao Jiaxuanin BeijingPublished: 7:30pm, 4 Jun 2026Updated: 7:41pm, 4 Jun 2026Soon after Donald Trump concluded a visit to China that he hailed as a great success, America’s top diplomat joined his Indian, Japanese and Australian counterparts in New Delhi for a meeting of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue.At the meeting on May 26, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and the foreign ministers launched the Quad Critical Minerals Initiative Framework, a strategic push to curb global reliance on Beijing for rare earth elements. Member states are pooling up to US$20 billion for the mechanism.

On the security front, the bloc, which was formed nearly two decades ago to counter China’s rising prominence in the Indo-Pacific, unveiled a maritime surveillance collaboration initiative to integrate the member states’ regional information sharing.

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In addition, an energy security initiative was introduced to bolster regional fuel networks, alongside a pilot port infrastructure project in Fiji.

Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong (left), Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar, Japanese Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio share a light moment as they pose before a Quadrilateral Security Dialogue meeting in New Delhi, India, on May 26. Photo: AP
Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong (left), Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar, Japanese Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio share a light moment as they pose before a Quadrilateral Security Dialogue meeting in New Delhi, India, on May 26. Photo: AP

The developments came after Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping reached an agreement during the US president’s state visit in mid-May to pursue a constructive relationship of “strategic stability”.AdvertisementAdvertisementSelect VoiceSelect Speed00:0000:001.00x

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