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Polling expert issues verdict on how many councillors Labour will lose in local elections

Keir Starmer and his wife Victoria Starmer leave a polling station after voting during local elections in London
Keir Starmer and his wife Victoria Starmer leave a polling station after voting during local elections in London (Reuters)
  • Local elections have concluded across Scotland, Wales, and parts of England, with Labour widely anticipated to face significant losses nationwide.
  • Polling expert Lord Robert Hayward predicted Labour could lose approximately 1,850 councillors in England and the national vote in Wales for the first time in over a century.
  • Deputy Prime Minister David Lammy acknowledged the elections were ‘tough’ for Labour, attributing difficulties to cost of living concerns and the party’s message being overshadowed.
  • Poor results are expected to reignite speculation about Sir Keir Starmer’s leadership, with reports of Cabinet ministers considering challenges and Andy Burnham cancelling a key speech.
  • Meanwhile, Reform UK, the Green Party, and the Liberal Democrats are all projected to make substantial gains, while the Conservatives are expected to lose further ground.
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