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Hong Kong stocks hunker down for a day packed with Fed decision, jumbo IPO debut
Both a US Fed rate policy meeting and the largest initial public offering in Hong Kong in seven years will occur on Thursday
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Zhang Shidongin ShanghaiPublished: 8:00am, 29 Jul 2026
Hong Kong stocks are gearing up for an eventful day on Thursday, when both a rate decision by the US Federal Reserve and a debut of the city’s largest initial public offering (IPO) in seven years coincide to test investors’ risk appetite.
An unexpected increase in the US borrowing costs, or even a hawkish tone from new US Fed chairman Kevin Warsh, risks derailing a fragile rebound in Hong Kong stocks, which was aided by a rotation out of high-priced artificial intelligence (AI) bets in neighbouring markets. The IPO for Zhongji Innolight, the Chinese maker of optical transceivers used in AI data centres, may add another layer of uncertainty at the start of trading in Hong Kong, as the public listing drains about US$8 billion from elsewhere in the markets.The Fed rate policy meeting will be closely scrutinised by investors in both Hong Kong and abroad. Anticipation over monetary tightening is driving US Treasury yields higher and upending technology stocks trading at stretched valuations.
Warsh, who took over the world’s biggest central bank in May, struck a hawkish tone in his first rate decision meeting last month, while also pledging to uphold the Fed’s independence in testimony before lawmakers.
“For markets, the July meeting is therefore less about whether the Fed hikes this week and more about how close it believes the economy is to the tripwire,” said Stephen Innes, a managing partner at SPI Asset Management.
“A hold accompanied by stronger language on inflation and geopolitical risk could still tighten financial conditions, particularly if Warsh refuses to push back against the market’s hawkish pricing.”
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