Santos reportedly posted on X confirming his attendance, causing odds to spike, then later reversed his statement, claiming he would watch from an airport, which led to a tumble in the odds.
Prior to his announcement that he would not attend, Santos allegedly placed bets on Kalshi predicting his non-attendance, according to sources with direct knowledge of his trades.
Kalshi detected these suspicious trades and subsequently referred the matter to both the DOJ and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, prompting separate investigations into the former congressman’s activities.